It’s Election Day/Afternoon/Night!

Update 11:06 — 

It’s over… CNN just called it for O… will have some commentary tomorrow… goodnight and congratulations America!

Update 10:45 — 

EV count 207-O, 135-Mc

Update 10:00 — 

EV count 206-O, 89-Mc

Update 9:21 — 

EV count 174-O, 64-Mc

Update 8:21 — 

EV count 77-O, 34-Mc

Update 7:45 —

Battleground update!

Indiana, McCain 51%

Update 6:00 —

Did you know this? According to CNN:

Following an Obama campaign tradition, he arrived Tuesday afternoon at a gym on Chicago’s west side, where a campaign spokeswoman said he met with friends for a game of round ball.


Update 5:00
— 

Don’t forget the TruthIsaWoman live Election Chat is now active!

http://www.chatmaker.net/chatap/rooms/The%20Election%20with%20TIW/

Update 4:45 — 

Wow, 270toWin is predicting the largest margin I have seen yet, Obama 393, McCain 145…

270

Update 4:30 — 

It’s getting near 5:00, so don’t forget to score your free ice cream!

Update 4:00

According to Andrew Gelman of Columbia University, based on his simulations if Virginia goes Obama and there is a close race in Indiana, it equates to an almost 100 percent certainty that Obama will win the election — this is particularly interesting because both of those states polls close at 7:00.

Update 3:00

Final predictions from FiveThirtyEight. What do YOU think?

Today’s Polls and Final Election Projection: Obama 349, McCain 189

It’s Tuesday, November 4th, 2008, Election Day in America. The last polls have straggled in, and show little sign of mercy for John McCain. Barack Obama appears poised for a decisive electoral victory.

Our model projects that Obama will win all states won by John Kerry in 2004, in addition to Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, Florida and North Carolina, while narrowly losing Missouri and Indiana. These states total 353 electoral votes. Our official projection, which looks at these outcomes probabilistically — for instance, assigns North Carolina’s 15 electoral votes to Obama 59 percent of the time — comes up with an incrementally more conservative projection of 348.6 electoral votes.

Update 12:00 —

Karl Rove predicts and Obama landslide, and Karl Rove is never wrong…

Karl Rove, the man widely credited with engineering President Bush’s two successful White House bids, is predicting the Illinois senator will take the White House in an Electoral College landslide, winning 338 votes to John McCain’s 200.

       

22 Responses

  1. For those who don’t know,apparently when the Redskins play on Monday Night Football the day before an election, with no incumbent – A win = Party in power stays in power, A loss = party change. And the Skins are in the tank for Obama from their performance last night.

  2. Wow, with accuracy like that, why do we even bother to have elections!?

  3. My day’s not complete until I check out this blog!

  4. Hmm, Rove in the tank for Obama….could this be a 72 repeat?

  5. What is this election I keep hearing so much about?

  6. I was horribly disturbed by a friend’s comment Sunday night to not vote because she just doesn’t know enough about the candidates and issues to feel like she can hazzard a guess as to who might be a better option for our country. On the one hand, should all uninformed be so magnanimous as to acknowledge what we don’t know and not aimlessly flail about casting votes against socialist, muslims who will assuredly kill Isreal. On the other hand, how the hell can you a) not have a fucking clue as of November 2, 2008 and b) not have realized how important this election is and get a fucking clue before November 4, 2008. Sad…truly truly sad. Also, I find it sad that at my job we’ve been encouraged to wear jeans to work and stuff our faces with soft pretzels and stop work to watch the Phillies parade all through the World Series. And not one thing was said about making sure we find time in our daily work schedules to get our asses out to vote.

  7. What is this election I keep hearing about today?

    Where do I sign up?

  8. Mike, as a candidate?

  9. sorry didnt mean for that post to go through 2x.

    I wouldnt know where to begin explaining why I wouldnt be a good candidate.

    My voting experience today was that it seemed to be business as usual at my polling place. However, based on my wonderbread neighborhood I didnt expect anything else. Typically has long lines and runs smoothly.

  10. With socialism in our future, we could all use a little practice waiting in long lines for things…like bread and milk, etc. Just kidding. I’m really excited for the polls to close. I’m going to try not to hear all the spoils before the count is officially in…so hopefully I’m just as excited tomorrow when I hear who won.

  11. no megan! you have to stay up all night with me!

  12. no way, man. i’m too anxious. i’ll be at the gym trying to climb away my nerves…i spoke to someone i hold in high regard today (someone other than yourself, dearest ty) who likes Palin’s “spunk” and believes this is the time for Catholics to make a change and stop abortion once and for all…and knowing and loving this individual as i do and realizing that even with a brain in his head votes were cast in such a way…i don’t want to think about or know about the votes of others more confuddled…until the count is in and i can breath in relief…Damn…I feel like it’s Christmas freaking Eve…

  13. I’m curious as to what changes everyone expects to actually occur when Obama is our president.

    I personally am not expecting much. Voted for him, hoping, but also think that he is not going to be the savior everyone is expecting.

  14. My personal hope is that having a Black man as president with the name Barrack Hussein Obama, who is intelligent and thoughtful, who knows how to use techniques other than force and fear to get his way — that such a leader will help to mend the mindless and unnecessary prejudice that still infects our society…

  15. That probably came out wrong. I dont doubt his ability or potential but I do think our system is broken, possibly beyond repair.

    it would be great if he is able to mend those ills that you are talking about, however you said it best…. its mindlessness. How do you overcome that?

    If he can begin to unite our country then it will be a success in my eyes.

  16. Mike, by “system,” what do you mean in particular?

  17. […] no way, man. i’m too anxious. i’ll be at the gym trying to climb away my nerves…i spoke to someone i hold in high regard today (someone other than yourself, dearest ty) who likes Palin ’s “spunk” and believes this is the time for …[Continue Reading] […]

  18. our government.

    too much corporate influence, too much coruption, too much media influence. partisan politics that amounts to nothing getting accomplished (they did get that pesky daylight savings time thing passed last year).

  19. well… yeah, there’s that…

  20. Mike, you should join us in the TIW election chat…
    http://www.chatmaker.net/chatap/rooms/The%20Election%20with%20TIW/

  21. Well, I was listening to Doris Kearns Goodwin talking last night. She talked about getting us Americans excited again for politics. She spoke of how during the Bush Administration, it was preferred we sit back and let the big boys in Washington take care of everything, but not now. She spoke of how this campaign and the words of Obama have really invited “us” in. And allowed us to believe that the people actually have a voice. She spoke of the Peace Corp and how Kennedy so affected people during his campaign that people wanted to join, wanted to be civil servants, wanted to be involved. She spoke of making politics exciting and fun again. Hopefully changing the face of politics because it’s been corrupted for the past few decades.

    I’d also like to say, in some ways, I think he has begun uniting the country. Over the past few days I have heard that Obama gained support in places no Democrat had before. In the words of my late grandmother “People, people, people”. Some people won’t ever change but I think we just took that fork in the road. The one that leads to acknowledging and truly believing that we are not defined by the color of our skin or gender. And maybe after 4 years people who still believe that all black people are unAmerican, unintelligent, and unworthy will maybe see how truly truly wrong they are.

    PS Tyson, I was up until the bitter, bitter end.

  22. […] who could forget TIW’s election extravaganza! We not only live-blogged the entire day, It’s Election Day/Afternoon/Night, we also hosted a live chat from 5:00 til close. Of course the best stuff occured in the chatroom […]

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