Update 11:06 —
It’s over… CNN just called it for O… will have some commentary tomorrow… goodnight and congratulations America!
Update 10:45 —
EV count 207-O, 135-Mc
Update 10:00 —
EV count 206-O, 89-Mc
Update 9:21 —
EV count 174-O, 64-Mc
Update 8:21 —
EV count 77-O, 34-Mc
Update 7:45 —
Indiana, McCain 51%
Update 6:00 —
Did you know this? According to CNN:
Following an Obama campaign tradition, he arrived Tuesday afternoon at a gym on Chicago’s west side, where a campaign spokeswoman said he met with friends for a game of round ball.
Update 5:00 —
Don’t forget the TruthIsaWoman live Election Chat is now active!
Update 4:45 —
Wow, 270toWin is predicting the largest margin I have seen yet, Obama 393, McCain 145…
Update 4:30 —
It’s getting near 5:00, so don’t forget to score your free ice cream!
Update 4:00 —
According to Andrew Gelman of Columbia University, based on his simulations if Virginia goes Obama and there is a close race in Indiana, it equates to an almost 100 percent certainty that Obama will win the election — this is particularly interesting because both of those states polls close at 7:00.
Update 3:00 —
Final predictions from FiveThirtyEight. What do YOU think?
It’s Tuesday, November 4th, 2008, Election Day in America. The last polls have straggled in, and show little sign of mercy for John McCain. Barack Obama appears poised for a decisive electoral victory.
Our model projects that Obama will win all states won by John Kerry in 2004, in addition to Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, Florida and North Carolina, while narrowly losing Missouri and Indiana. These states total 353 electoral votes. Our official projection, which looks at these outcomes probabilistically — for instance, assigns North Carolina’s 15 electoral votes to Obama 59 percent of the time — comes up with an incrementally more conservative projection of 348.6 electoral votes.
Update 12:00 —
Karl Rove predicts and Obama landslide, and Karl Rove is never wrong…
Karl Rove, the man widely credited with engineering President Bush’s two successful White House bids, is predicting the Illinois senator will take the White House in an Electoral College landslide, winning 338 votes to John McCain’s 200.